.THERE IS bit uncertainty regarding the probably winner of Britain's overall political election on July 4th: with a top of 20 portion points in nationwide opinion surveys, the Work Party is extremely likely to gain. Yet there is actually uncertainty concerning the dimension of Work's large number in Britain's 650-seat House of Commons. Some polling organizations have released chair predictions using an unfamiliar method called multi-level regression and also post-stratification (MRP). What are these polls-- and how precise are they?